Polymarket Trader

Firewnl

@Firewnl

0x59c25859b5ea3f9edd96a6c9fe9a5b856d5bde58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.79
Realized PnL: $591.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.75
Potential profit: $62.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $25.46
Potential payout: $50.91
Potential profit: $25.46
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $34.4
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $28.77
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.92
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.17

Yes position

Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.9

No position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

Yes position

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.51

Yes position

Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.34

Yes position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.93

No position

Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.42

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

Yes position

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

No position

Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Will Sam Altman say "Deep Fake" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

No position

Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" or "Jesus" 5+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Trump say "Christmas" 8+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 31.9% 62.75 shares
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Yes 0.2% 222.22 shares
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Yes 7.7% 30 shares
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Yes 4.5% 222.22 shares
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 25.3% 40 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 61% 36.07 shares
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 18% 40 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 35.4% 62.5 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 53% 5 shares
Will "Finding Her Edge" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 0.2% 40 shares
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Yes 32% 62.5 shares