Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$36.3
Polymarket Trader
Piok
0x59c25d36b4a002174c9d8aaf8aba6d20c26c4d3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.63
- Realized PnL
- $48.82
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $17.64
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $16.3
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 27.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 21.98 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.1% 64.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 95.4% 31.45 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.9% 59.17 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.4% 21.16 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.4% 64.94 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 59.17 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.5% 21.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No 94.8% 31.41 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.1% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 20 shares