Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $3.45K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $56.55K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.11K
Polymarket Trader
NassimTaleb
0x59c49973fee0107e1b7e8d7c7342348b676c6649
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.45K
- Realized PnL
- -$5.47K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.67K
- Potential profit
- $48.67K
- User PnL
- -$11.18K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- User PnL
- -$95.32
Yes position
OpenSea airdrop before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $506.61
- Potential profit
- $506.61
- User PnL
- -$91.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes 58% 8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.9% 46,648.53 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 23.8% 17,844.75 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 19% 44 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 19.8% 2,634.73 shares
- OpenSea airdrop before April?Yes 18% 506.61 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 64% 8,000 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 59.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 60.2% 13,717.04 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 23.8% 19,550 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 21.6% 7,727.6 shares
- Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes 20.3% 2,704.84 shares