Polymarket Trader

AbramContreras

0x59c9bc0a8f06886f8466cf1a05dc248ec7fe063d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99
Realized PnL: $99.67
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.2
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$48.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.95
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $16.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 72.2%
Current value: $72.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $27.85
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $44.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$38.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$10.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $49.97
User PnL: -$4.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 55% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on June 15?

No 99.9% 28.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 65.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 28.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 26.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 14.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 8.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 100 shares