Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $9.04
Polymarket Trader
NomnomEE
0x59c9e3d5627c59c8958e2e609563385f2fe79c02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.73
- Realized PnL
- -$11.06
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$5.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 15.04 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 22% 15.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 7.14 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 30.5% 16.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 70% 7.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 95% 22.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 89.9% 22.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 26?No 5.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?Yes 3% 10.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?Yes 6% 3.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?Yes 8% 14.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?No 53% 8.69 shares