No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $5.23K
- Potential payout
- $5.46K
- Potential profit
- $232.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $218.74
Polymarket Trader
0x59d1...07ce
0x59d184d94984b26bab2baecbef2a0c356bd407ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.87K
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$188.51
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $28.59
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.05
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$27.35
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $651.65
- Potential payout
- $666.65
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $507.6
- Potential payout
- $573.56
- Potential profit
- $65.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $492.98
- Potential payout
- $553.91
- Potential profit
- $60.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $63.91
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $274.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $35.67
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $268.62
- Potential payout
- $280.1
- Potential profit
- $11.48
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $36.74
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $262.92
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $204
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $216.08
- Potential payout
- $237.45
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $146.31
- Potential payout
- $146.82
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $70.8
- Potential payout
- $111.49
- Potential profit
- $40.69
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Yes position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $44.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $95.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $88.77
- Potential payout
- $90.68
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $77.8
- Potential profit
- $74.3
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$61.69
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $66.85
- Potential profit
- $64.61
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $53.41
- Potential payout
- $53.63
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $8.08
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.74
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.44
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.9
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.23
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.97
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.48
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.93
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $23.75
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Dems position
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 97.9% 5.46 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 4 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 4.06 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 2.29 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 5.06 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 6.14 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 1.66 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 1.61 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 15.9 shares
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes 99.8% 168.93 shares
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes 99.8% 16.83 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 573.56 shares