Polymarket Trader

defiwalker

0x59d4a69c0da718e44ff33f8690c314481157b745

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.2
Realized PnL: $3.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$161.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$84.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$88.04

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.37
Potential profit: $61.37
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.25
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.82

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.42

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.1

Walczaki position

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffs

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.9

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.97

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.26

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.31

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.5

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.45

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.48

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 8% 100 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 11.9% 99.99 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.8% 20 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 14.8% 100 shares
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 4.2% 306.4 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

No 49% 50 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 70.1% 40 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 86.9% 50 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 77.1% 50 shares
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 87.7% 50 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 26.7% 149.99 shares