Polymarket Trader

0x59d646eede51dbba370b5046a3593133c5fc62c8

@fanchogg

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.44K
Realized PnL: $9.54K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $152.77K
Potential profit: $150.41K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$649.44

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $21.03K
Potential profit: $17.76K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $5.31K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $290.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $510.87
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.87

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Pacto Histórico win 21-23 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.6
Potential profit: $380.6
User PnL: -$120.38

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $223.72
Potential profit: $223.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$99.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.44K

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $774.51

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.17

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.06

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $183.45

No position

Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.51

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

No position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 8.8% 3,511.49 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.5% 4,347.83 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 10% 1,233.76 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 10.9% 1,581.75 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.1% 6,601.89 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 37% 270.27 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 6.7% 1,492.54 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 10% 2,109 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 10.7% 2,964 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 11.8% 3,599.99 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 78% 498.14 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 77% 2,598.78 shares