Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $660
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.34K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Polymarket Trader
jadebasilisk
0x59db0bd8c5e0b201ec10c8d7b06150d41a7ac353
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.88K
- Realized PnL
- $48.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $322.54
- Potential payout
- $22.24K
- Potential profit
- $21.92K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $55.61
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.23K
- Potential payout
- $12.27K
- Potential profit
- $36.81
- User PnL
- $961.74
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$292.14
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$18.45
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$975
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$494.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$111.95
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $887.12
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $287.87
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $60.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$254.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $526.5
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$173
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $686.43
- Potential profit
- $686.43
- User PnL
- -$206.16
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $496.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- $316.75
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $480.09
- Potential payout
- $482.26
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- $142.81
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $447
- Potential payout
- $449.25
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $219.38
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$56
Gonzaga Bulldogs position
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.59
- Potential profit
- $381.59
- User PnL
- -$267.11
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.03
- Potential profit
- $351.03
- User PnL
- -$79.17
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $298.8
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- User PnL
- $46.8
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.54
- Potential profit
- $250.54
- User PnL
- -$60.13
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$70
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
xAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.7
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.44
No position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.18
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $464.44
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.38
No position
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.11
Yes position
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $394.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375
No position
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.66
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.06
Yes position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 20% 872.83 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 21.1% 5,560.63 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 30% 905.22 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes 2% 4.14 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 30% 90 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 29% 346.68 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 28% 248 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 31% 1.6 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 87.9% 300 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 97% 140.33 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 22% 11 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 22% 11 shares