Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
trovadortaturana
@kimberkirlee
0x59e76f26a32b9d3e8a83c7b0c6d9b3735ae740cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.42
- Realized PnL
- $56.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.78
- Potential profit
- $54.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.02
- Potential payout
- $40.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.01
- Potential profit
- $38.01
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $26.48
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $20.2
- Potential payout
- $21.14
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $20.31
- Potential payout
- $20.85
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $19.84
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.77
- Potential payout
- $9.3
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 9.3 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 10.26 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 73% 10.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.3% 13.13 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 97.6% 26.63 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99% 50.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?No 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?No 95% 4.21 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.8% 43.12 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 96% 20.84 shares