No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $483.08
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $533.93
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$320.36
Polymarket Trader
DavidScott2089
0x59f3649c3a03c11a177d02d3aa56882d8201a7fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $488.08
- Realized PnL
- $2.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $807
- Potential profit
- $807
- User PnL
- -$403.5
Over position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473
- Potential profit
- $473
- User PnL
- -$383.13
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276
- Potential profit
- $276
- User PnL
- -$38.64
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $142
- User PnL
- -$71
Yes position
Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141
- Potential profit
- $141
- User PnL
- -$9.87
No position
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$38.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $78
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$6.71
No position
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$8.11
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$20.59
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Yes position
Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.93
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $218.88
Yes position
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.02
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.12
Yes position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.18
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.51
No position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $101.66
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.44
Yes position
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.1
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.17
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
No position
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
Yes position
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.57
Eureka Red Devils position
Eureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $30.24
No position
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.44
No position
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.84
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.84
No position
Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.42
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $23.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?No 8% 776 shares
- Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?No 55% 776 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 63% 678 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 79% 1,017 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 72% 46 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 72% 983 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 72% 1,029 shares
- Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No 98.1% 230 shares
- Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No 97.9% 42 shares
- Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No 87% 272 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 51% 465 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 48% 465 shares