Polymarket Trader

HarryPotter1

0x59f86d3e3221b83ef5c04d6d8e8558585a1d4d4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $647.84
Realized PnL: $353.67
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.85K
Potential profit: $23.85K
User PnL: -$149.99

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $168.75
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.33K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $68.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $288.98
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $88.98

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $56.35
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $173.65
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $54.81
Potential profit: $36.8
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: $4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: -$1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $4.29
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69
Potential profit: $2.69
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $158.83

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 0.5% 185 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 39% 2.69 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 1.1% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 87% 3.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 86% 3.44 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74.2% 9.06 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 12,500 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 3,846.15 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.3% 11.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 94% 158.51 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes 0.2% 200 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Yes 92% 10.87 shares