Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $31.73
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$28.26
Polymarket Trader
0x59Fe296bA54c1e411806904B71F8AcAB225905eA-1757436817371
0x59fe296ba54c1e411806904b71f8acab225905ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.23
- Realized PnL
- $5.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $901.52
- Potential profit
- $901.52
- User PnL
- -$308.17
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $892.86
- Potential profit
- $892.86
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $756.18
- Potential profit
- $756.18
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $752
- Potential profit
- $752
- User PnL
- -$48.13
No position
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $703.03
- Potential profit
- $703.03
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682
- Potential profit
- $682
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $670.97
- Potential profit
- $670.97
- User PnL
- -$28.85
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.11
- Potential profit
- $637.11
- User PnL
- -$146.53
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.12
- Potential profit
- $592.12
- User PnL
- -$112.5
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.02
- Potential profit
- $503.02
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $429.01
- Potential profit
- $429.01
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.53
- Potential profit
- $425.53
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.63
- Potential profit
- $421.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.11
- Potential profit
- $418.11
- User PnL
- -$99.18
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.41
- Potential profit
- $405.41
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.97
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.97
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.39
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.12
Yes position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.92
No position
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.62
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.76
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.16
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.36
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.79
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.19
No position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.95
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.3
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.87
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $84.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.7% 3,000 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Yes 1.3% 637.36 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 7% 833.33 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 4.9% 102.37 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Yes 7.8% 637.37 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 4.3% 4,616.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 2.1% 12,713.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes 0.7% 13,333.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 1.1% 20,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 2.4% 12,713.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 10% 8,000 shares