Polymarket Trader

sourball

0x5a17c1b7ead5dfcf25e8b8290acb6f49a2eff790

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.15
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $11.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $13.38
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.9
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.88
Potential payout: $15.88
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.6

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.05

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?

No 34% 4.76 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 80% 5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 80% 4.96 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?

No 62% 4.92 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 76% 5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 38% 4.88 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up 34% 4.87 shares
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 83% 5.88 shares
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 84% 10 shares
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 10 shares