Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $43.13
- Potential payout
- $86.26K
- Potential profit
- $86.22K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Polymarket Trader
balthazar
@balthazarpoly
0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $837.11
- Realized PnL
- $743.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.98
- Potential payout
- $85.96K
- Potential profit
- $85.91K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.6
- Potential payout
- $85.2K
- Potential profit
- $85.16K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.97K
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.51
- Potential payout
- $85.02K
- Potential profit
- $84.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.46
- Potential payout
- $84.92K
- Potential profit
- $84.88K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.16
- Potential payout
- $84.33K
- Potential profit
- $84.28K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $42.04
- Potential payout
- $84.08K
- Potential profit
- $84.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $41.58
- Potential payout
- $83.16K
- Potential profit
- $83.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $41.35
- Potential payout
- $82.7K
- Potential profit
- $82.66K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $40.73
- Potential payout
- $81.47K
- Potential profit
- $81.43K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $39.81
- Potential payout
- $79.61K
- Potential profit
- $79.57K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $38.42
- Potential payout
- $76.84K
- Potential profit
- $76.8K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $38.41
- Potential payout
- $76.81K
- Potential profit
- $76.77K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $36.89
- Potential payout
- $73.77K
- Potential profit
- $73.73K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $35.89
- Potential payout
- $71.77K
- Potential profit
- $71.73K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $29.32
- Potential payout
- $58.63K
- Potential profit
- $58.61K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $50.23K
- Potential profit
- $50.2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $50.22K
- Potential profit
- $50.19K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$926.72
Yes position
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.84
- Potential payout
- $49.68K
- Potential profit
- $49.66K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.78
- Potential payout
- $49.57K
- Potential profit
- $49.54K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.76
- Potential payout
- $49.52K
- Potential profit
- $49.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $49.19K
- Potential profit
- $49.17K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $47.89K
- Potential profit
- $47.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Yes position
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.7
- Potential payout
- $47.39K
- Potential profit
- $47.37K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.56K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.12K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.72K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.54K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.12K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.77K
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.5K
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.35K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07K
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.65K
Yes position
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.25K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.97K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.71K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.51K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $23.83K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.57K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.95K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.61K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $22.53K
Yes position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.19K
Yes position
Will Kraken be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.16K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?Yes 2% 14.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?Yes 26% 14.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 48% 14.19 shares
- Will Matt Ortega win the CA-14 special election?No 99.7% 29.97 shares
- Will Wendy Huang win the CA-14 special election?No 99.2% 30 shares
- Will Victor Aguilar Jr. win the CA-14 special election?No 98.7% 30 shares
- Will Rakhi Israni Singh win the CA-14 special election?No 97.9% 29.98 shares
- Will Carin Elam win the CA-14 special election?No 99.4% 30 shares
- Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?No 98.2% 29.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 5% 120 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 85% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 0.5% 150 shares