Polymarket Trader

Jociane

0x5a21b8d89132de50e127079c95518606452201fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.98
Realized PnL: $9.68
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $9.96
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $5.89
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Cincinnati Bearcats position

Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Nike say "Sustainable" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Nike say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Nike say "Black Friday" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Nike say "China" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Nike say "Tariff" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50.2% 9.96 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 97.9% 10.21 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?

No 99.5% 10.05 shares
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

No 84% 5.95 shares
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 98.9% 10.11 shares
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 99.8% 10.02 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 84.9% 5.89 shares
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99% 10.1 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 97.7% 51.18 shares
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati Bearcats 86% 5.81 shares