Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $460.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Polymarket Trader
QuarterlyComeback
0x5a223238b202d67c8bcf500cbb0e886813e917a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.64K
- Realized PnL
- $9.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $338.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $166.89
Yes position
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$483
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $802.35
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $432.88
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $112.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $214.57
No position
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$446
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $103.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $20.13
Yes position
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$754
No position
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$470
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $368.59
Yes position
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $921.95
- Potential profit
- $921.95
- User PnL
- -$460
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.5
- Potential profit
- $812.5
- User PnL
- -$515
Yes position
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.54
- Potential profit
- $748.54
- User PnL
- -$483.81
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $703.33
- Potential payout
- $709.71
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- User PnL
- $104.33
Yes position
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $696.51
- Potential profit
- $696.51
- User PnL
- -$64.98
No position
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $580.13
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $60.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $80.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $547.52
- Potential payout
- $559.83
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $47.52
No position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $544.64
- Potential profit
- $544.64
- User PnL
- -$154.05
No position
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $494.72
- Potential payout
- $518.03
- Potential profit
- $23.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $497.98
- Potential payout
- $516.04
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $337
- Potential payout
- $449.33
- Potential profit
- $112.33
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $187
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.63
- Potential profit
- $419.63
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.03
- Potential profit
- $367.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.79
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.37
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.95
Yes position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.26
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.16
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.84
No position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.04
Yes position
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.96
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.81
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.79
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.94
Yes position
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.07
No position
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.56
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.25
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.9
Yes position
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.01
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.77
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 94% 106.38 shares
- Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 96.5% 518.03 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 63.6% 157.27 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 48.1% 207.99 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 43.2% 115.87 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 96.9% 516.04 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 68.7% 363.77 shares
- Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 92.3% 162.56 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 89.9% 333.57 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 93% 1,075.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35% 285.71 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.6% 1,103.92 shares