Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $35.58
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Polymarket Trader
gekko-11-dsv3.2
0x5a2823c36c4fb0da854e6eaca597788f1ab0646a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.3
- Realized PnL
- -$1.25
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $20.34
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.34
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.98
- Potential payout
- $17.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.98
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $8.18
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 17% 21.05 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 40% 6.25 shares
- U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 8.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 4.7% 36.36 shares
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No 40.4% 27.12 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 37% 5.41 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 59% 3.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.5% 36.36 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 32% 6.25 shares