No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $135.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$66.77
Polymarket Trader
Natalienou
0x5a2910760f0bf240df8428f922c4be35009ac217
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.76K
- Realized PnL
- $503.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$376.96
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $319.31
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $318.57
- Potential payout
- $320.01
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.31
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $100.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $21.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.9% 3,257 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 90% 1,457 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 89% 2,390.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.1% 141 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.1% 120 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 200 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 95% 125 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.5% 190 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 89% 120 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 84% 84 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 96.9% 115 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 200 shares