Polymarket Trader

elonmusk911

0x5a2da8f09ecee7330934c99133b977c89c0ad45c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $949.4
Realized PnL: $442.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $377.27
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $77.27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $77.27

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $268.42
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $82.46
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $68.42

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $184.66
Potential payout: $263.79
Potential profit: $79.14
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $32.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.21
Potential profit: $180.21
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $119.05
Potential payout: $126.25
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $19.05

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$18.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.9
Potential profit: $55.9
User PnL: -$19.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.79
Potential profit: $38.79
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Burundi vs. Zambia end in a draw?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Burundi win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

Furman Paladins position

Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.95

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Yes position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $16.27

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Over position

AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

St. Bonaventure Bonnies position

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Pirates

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will AZ win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Spurs position

Kings vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 58.5% 88.36 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 66% 151.52 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 66% 151.52 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 66% 151.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 19% 53.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 47% 53.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 37% 67.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Down 41% 60.98 shares