Polymarket Trader

GuyArn

0x5a33f8458c7458c4fb71c53b8578fea85e87d965

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.35
Realized PnL: $0.12
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Maccabi Tel Aviv position

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Maccabi Tel Aviv position

Monaco vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

Maccabi Tel Aviv position

Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 99.9% 7.24 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Yes 61% 3.94 shares
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Yes 76% 3.95 shares
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 69% 2.9 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 98.8% 1.19 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv 37% 2.7 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Yes 82% 6.84 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Yes 73% 6.85 shares