Polymarket Trader

Blackjack-Blaze

@PSmirk40300

0x5a4f87f9bb895aa3606bf05b72b8c94692e887fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.11
Realized PnL: $911.07
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Kings position

Kings vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$379.99

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.5
Potential profit: $371.5
User PnL: -$48.3

No position

Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.82
Potential profit: $34.82
User PnL: -$19.85

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.39
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.87

No position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$8.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Suns position

Suns vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.98

Pistons position

Bucks vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.7%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.4%
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 72% 20 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 57% 30 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 50 shares
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 87.2% 40 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.5% 50 shares
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

No 13% 371.5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 64.1% 89.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

No 99.6% 150.93 shares
Warriors vs. Kings

Warriors 23% 250.03 shares
Warriors vs. Kings

Warriors 42% 1,000 shares
Bucks vs. Pistons

Pistons 96% 1,366.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 99.2% 208 shares