Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $32.37K
- Potential payout
- $85.07K
- Potential profit
- $52.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
Polymarket Trader
Anon5566
0x5a560d135484258aa509f6720d31c4ed24f0adab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.41K
- Realized PnL
- $71.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $37.23K
- Potential payout
- $41.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $352.15
- Potential payout
- $21.34K
- Potential profit
- $20.99K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$109.94
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $19.37K
- Potential profit
- $14.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.81K
- Potential profit
- $8.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.33K
- Potential payout
- $6.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $323.87
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $175.17
- Potential payout
- $6.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $65.41
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $35.37
- User PnL
- $475.46
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $25.93
- User PnL
- $425.38
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $291.58
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $271.78
Yes position
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $244.94
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.61
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $246
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $820.16
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$29.26
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $462.03
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $176.35
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $568.89
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $546.58
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$263.18
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $115
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $25.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $974.6
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $520.53
- Potential payout
- $749.07
- Potential profit
- $228.54
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$33.29
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $130.91
- Potential payout
- $689
- Potential profit
- $558.09
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$59.55
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $91.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $408.75
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$48.75
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $406.18
- Potential payout
- $464.21
- Potential profit
- $58.03
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.26
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $192.25
- Potential payout
- $409.05
- Potential profit
- $216.8
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $92.9
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $329.91
- Potential payout
- $360.56
- Potential profit
- $30.65
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $26.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98K
No position
Fed rate cut by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
Ends Feb 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Israel military action against Iran by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Ukraine aid package by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Trump announce his VP pick in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Fed rate cut by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
Ends Feb 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley drop out in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Biden drops out by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.76
No position
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $949.14
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.43
No position
US bank failure in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 500 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 250 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 6,000 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 110 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 1,500 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 1,000 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 33% 303.03 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.6% 140 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 5,538 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 34.5% 770 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 1,850.31 shares