Polymarket Trader

crazydrops

@HeyDrops

0x5a5d9f16bfafe5c86b60481e4a4a9042b696909a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.9K
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $737.96
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.17K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$111.17

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $437.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$562.5

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $101.82
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $18.53

Yes position

Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Oct 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $397.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $102.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$42.5

No position

Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $378
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $225.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $174.04
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $134.39
Potential payout: $331.83
Potential profit: $197.44
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $90.49
Potential payout: $205.67
Potential profit: $115.18
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $166
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $18

No position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$86

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $76.96
Potential payout: $131.56
Potential profit: $54.6
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $92.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $39.32
Potential payout: $65.54
Potential profit: $26.22
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $13.11

Yes position

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.8
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.62

No position

Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.03

South Africa position

India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.78

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.55

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.26

Yes position

Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.99

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.52

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.82

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.22

Yes position

P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.82

Yes position

Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.51

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.11

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $41.2

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

No position

Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

No position

Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Yes 81% 400 shares
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Rajasthan Royals 92% 500 shares
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 62.5% 104 shares
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Royal Challengers Bengaluru 86% 116.28 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 62.6% 88 shares
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Yes 6.8% 73.04 shares
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Lucknow Super Giants 87% 50 shares
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Lucknow Super Giants 86% 50 shares
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans

Delhi Capitals 92.9% 448.35 shares
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans

Gujarat Titans 58% 728.96 shares
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans

Delhi Capitals 79% 517.94 shares
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans

Gujarat Titans 77% 128.97 shares