Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $46.59
- Potential payout
- $6.21K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Polymarket Trader
Luigi1980
0x5a61d67b886164a2e5a996e1dac0f410ad6848d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $467.32
- Realized PnL
- $0.11
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $30.62
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $27.01
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $28.41
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $22.81
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $26.21
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $22.68
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $331.25
- Potential profit
- $328.77
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $214.32
- Potential profit
- $206.07
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $64.89
- Potential profit
- $53.53
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $49.89
- Potential payout
- $50.14
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $14.24
- Potential payout
- $36.05
- Potential profit
- $21.81
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $24.26
- Potential payout
- $29.82
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $13.73
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $11.42
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $6.77
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.2% 2.23 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 2.9 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.9% 2.89 shares
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsT1 Academy 69% 2.59 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 2.37 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 52% 5.39 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 56% 5.39 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 2.37 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.7% 1.63 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.8% 1.63 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 2.85 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 2.89 shares