Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $137.46
- Potential payout
- $316
- Potential profit
- $178.54
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$80.58
Polymarket Trader
AmyMarshall3143
0x5a6e92b9f2fe2ef07d4b69df0b51fc7936a488ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $345.61
- Realized PnL
- $577.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $117.31
- Potential payout
- $228
- Potential profit
- $110.69
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $75.58
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $83.13
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $91.88
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $133
- User PnL
- -$76.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $113
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Nik Airball be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$1.32
N
No position
Will "Goal" be said 5+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $42.63
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$30.4
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $27.65
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$22.75
Yes position
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will Cenk Uygur be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.72
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.68
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.54
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
No position
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.05
Yes position
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $26.82
Yes position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $22.71
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $17.16
Yes position
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.53
No position
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" or "Qatar" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
No position
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.86
No position
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.74
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.63
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.13
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Yes position
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.04
Yes position
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Yes position
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 6?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No 99.4% 16 shares
- Will the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?No 95.6% 18 shares
- Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No 31.6% 54 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 44% 10 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 44% 54 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 44% 66 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 44% 71 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 44% 127 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 74% 92 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 74% 51 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 58% 40 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No 38.8% 566 shares