Polymarket Trader

gonnakilmyslf

0x5a7f8df634f7ab59ce94b970f5b2ad20770d6413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $484.42
Realized PnL: $13.78
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $105.76
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $48.03
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $75.61
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $68.81
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $15.37
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $59.63
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $45.15
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $24.85
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $51.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $29.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $59.55
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $17.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $42.6
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.12
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $55.2
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.48
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.9
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.52
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $18.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $41.1
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $49.2
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $20.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $20.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Prime Video announce a new project at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $16.6

No position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.3%
Multiplier: 6.99x
User PnL: $15.48

No position

Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0

No position

ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$11.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.2% 10 shares