No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Polymarket Trader
madonnanolan9292
0x5a891052a5e78fa199a11ba19f98f2d4c2b7b762
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $12.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 95% 57 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 95% 50 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 57 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 13.1% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 88 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98.1% 27 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 97.6% 27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 86.6% 62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 85.2% 62 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 92.4% 46 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 56.5% 68 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 85% 54 shares