Polymarket Trader

echo021301

0x5a9c1aa7aa93e4c5dfe5c6dc0c6d1c6c3f7cc336

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.94K
Realized PnL: $1.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$137.71

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $861.65
Potential profit: $861.65
User PnL: -$749.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.6
Potential profit: $550.6
User PnL: -$79.91

No position

Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $333.13
Potential payout: $533
Potential profit: $199.88
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $189.22

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.91
Potential profit: $472.91
User PnL: -$323.86

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $302.18
Potential payout: $416.8
Potential profit: $114.62
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $208.96

No position

Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $366.51
Potential payout: $367.24
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $210.15

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $132.85
Potential payout: $363.98
Potential profit: $231.13
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$53.53

No position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $305.81
Potential payout: $310.94
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $230.45

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.48
Potential profit: $275.48
User PnL: -$105.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.34
Potential profit: $265.34
User PnL: -$66.23

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $21.18
Potential payout: $230.22
Potential profit: $209.04
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $58.24
Potential payout: $211.79
Potential profit: $153.55
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$32.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $130.09
Potential payout: $171.18
Potential profit: $41.08
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $165.17
Potential profit: $164.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.83

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $162.24
Potential payout: $162.65
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $79.29

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.22
Potential profit: $151.22
User PnL: -$52.93

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $120.91
Potential profit: $119.88
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $118.82
Potential profit: $112.41
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$10.46

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $117.88
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$55.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.13
Potential profit: $114.13
User PnL: -$73.88

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $109.67
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $27.17

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.24
Potential profit: $109.24
User PnL: -$38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.36

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.65

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.23

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.18

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $82.92

No position

Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.34

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.55

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.52

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Yes 97.4% 249.75 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Yes 97.5% 127.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 2.9% 63.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 2.4% 500 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?

No 97.8% 520.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?

No 97.7% 76.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 71.7% 11.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 81.9% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 79.9% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 82.4% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 83.5% 31.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

No 83.9% 15 shares