No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $138.24
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $38.24
Polymarket Trader
imkittah
0x5ab55e915e17ce9ea89b0d3a55ddaf2cbf8d68f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.72
- Realized PnL
- -$100.29
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $51.49
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $8.04
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.56
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- -$19.48
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$19.86
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$128.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 0.4% 144.15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 0.6% 23.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 2% 25.31 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 91.1% 64.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on June 30, 2026?No 59.2% 5.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 11.36 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 61% 49.18 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 61% 21.31 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 60.6% 91.56 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 99.2% 56.17 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 88% 79.55 shares