Polymarket Trader

DonaldDump88

0x5ab676dbd8bb2dfcb7478ee13618b505babe6eec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.79K
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $5.18K
Potential payout: $84.2K
Potential profit: $79.02K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $56.97K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $51.22K
Potential profit: $45.81K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$2.89K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$272

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$590.15

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45.9%
Current value: $182.78
Potential payout: $398.66
Potential profit: $215.87
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: -$168.64

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.9
Potential profit: $381.9
User PnL: -$8.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.29

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.37

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.72

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.8

Yes position

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $36

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.52

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $1.51

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,100 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: -$15.62

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,700 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 60,000 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?

Yes 20% 500 shares
England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.1% 381.9 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 51,215.8 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 66,016.19 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 8,990.51 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.4% 8,000 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 18.1% 3,253.6 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 9,194.26 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 4,700.8 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 4,700.8 shares