Polymarket Trader

gh-3

0x5abafd734647a0482c42f2094ba386935d169ddf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.03
Realized PnL: $621.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $286.25
Potential profit: $277.81
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.97
Potential profit: $240.97
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $145.52
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $91.91
Potential profit: $87.18
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.25
Potential profit: $66.25
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $46.74
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.32
Potential profit: $36.32
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $33.53
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

M80 position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $20.99
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $13.65
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $16.98
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $122.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.88

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Yes position

Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.57

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up 40% 4.54 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 31% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

EYEBALLERS 33% 3.03 shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

FaZe 61% 8.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 160 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 91.91 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

BetBoom Team 80% 12.5 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

BetBoom Team 79% 12.66 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Team Nemesis 28% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 48% 11.46 shares