Polymarket Trader

chaimaaron

0x5abe174a600b973c9cbb4a2c5203f3e8f1270b32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $351.9
Realized PnL: $401.04
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $89.88
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $236.02
Potential payout: $913.04
Potential profit: $677.02
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.71
Potential profit: $857.71
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.38
Potential profit: $402.38
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $374
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$14

Toronto Blue Jays position

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.52

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $97.59

Toronto Blue Jays position

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.62

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $34.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Toronto Blue Jays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.36

Canada position

Men's Final - Canada vs. USA

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$1.07

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$5.36

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.75

Boston Red Sox position

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23% 913.04 shares
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 52% 96.15 shares
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 50% 200 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 88% 266.66 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 92% 323.46 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 94.4% 472.1 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays 51% 78.43 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 61.8% 323.47 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 75% 266.67 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84.9% 235.61 shares
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 40% 250 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 10% 400 shares