Polymarket Trader

shirleyr

@JediKnight7585

0x5aca56e5f991c9f44b8438e907631b3fcae0cad6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $457.09
Realized PnL: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $367.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $132.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $54.4
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $12.93
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $34.08
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $7.91
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $23.1
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.64

No position

Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Colorado State Rams position

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $381.84

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.7

Yes position

Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.28

No position

Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.79

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.76

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81

No position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $76.92

No position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.11

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.73

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.78

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.21

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.06

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.42

No position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $48.46

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $47.35

No position

Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $47.15

Yes position

Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $46.02

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $34.32

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $33.12

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.11

Yes position

Will "Pillion" win Outstanding Debut at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.77

No position

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 96.1% 518 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

No 84% 518 shares
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 16% 844 shares
Remote IPO before 2027?

No 36% 285 shares
Remote IPO before 2027?

No 36% 20 shares
Remote IPO before 2027?

No 36% 467 shares
Remote IPO before 2027?

No 40% 772 shares
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

No 78% 841 shares
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

No 81% 841 shares
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

No 89% 778 shares
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

No 89% 778 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 520 shares