No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.92K
- Potential profit
- $858.99
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $148.11
Polymarket Trader
0x5AcDbBe5990B52Deabb1F3D2f4e8A4E14D7008d7-1766670414097
0x5acdbbe5990b52deabb1f3d2f4e8a4e14d7008d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.73K
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $510.13
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $70.76
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $158.09
- Potential payout
- $339.98
- Potential profit
- $181.89
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$100.29
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- -$51.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $908.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.42
Yes position
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Will DoorDash report between 800 million and 825 million total orders in Q4 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.03
Yes position
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$111.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 5,924.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 4,938.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 76% 66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.9% 395.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 80% 265 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.4% 172.48 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 38% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.5% 84 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 38% 35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 76% 700 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.7% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 81% 4,938.27 shares