No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $81.39
- Potential payout
- $184.97
- Potential profit
- $103.58
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$24.16
Polymarket Trader
FerociousProgress
@Emiyelbarto
0x5ace8af60ae0de8cb62ca35b7aa4081bdbc19850
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Kyle Daukaus position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Rei Sakamoto position
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Tamara Korpatsch position
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.82
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.36
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.62
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.93
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.56
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.28
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.91
Barber-Scotia Sabers position
Barber-Scotia Sabers vs. Florida A&M Rattlers
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $56.76
North Alabama Lions position
North Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.74
Chargers position
Chargers vs. Chiefs
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.32
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.36
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers, and Dallas Cowboys all win on Thanksgiving?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Bills
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
Yes position
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $28.06
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Packers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Omaha Mavericks position
Omaha Mavericks vs. Portland State Vikings
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.03
Dolphins position
Bills vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Lions
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Blackhawks position
Blackhawks vs. Kings
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 41.04 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 11% 78.08 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes 25% 36.46 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 23.37 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 24.73 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 19% 55.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 72% 95.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 88% 74.38 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 84% 4.76 shares
- Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 13% 31.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 72.7% 74.39 shares