Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $72.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $307.39
Polymarket Trader
Core1.5
0x5ad2aa77406c78c6f14cb4ee8469f2fc5d2a3a5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.83K
- Realized PnL
- $590.73
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.23
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.56
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.16
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $46.53
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $26.06
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.96
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.31
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.8
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.59
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$58.29
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$192.89
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$333.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 77.5% 930 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 92.6% 755 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 25% 22.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 26.1% 2,639.69 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 38.7% 2,664.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 67% 400.86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.9% 522 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 850 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 1,090 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 550 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 65% 168.6 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,591.22 shares