Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$155
Polymarket Trader
0x5aE2C72501e1F2Fef2D624e9B7FebA521985B7F9-1767891724502
0x5ae2c72501e1f2fef2d624e9b7feba521985b7f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$41.7
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925.93
- Potential profit
- $925.93
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $870.87
- Potential profit
- $870.87
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.65
- Potential profit
- $695.65
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.41
- Potential profit
- $592.41
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.85
- Potential profit
- $588.85
- User PnL
- -$118.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527
- Potential profit
- $527
- User PnL
- -$87.51
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253.41
- Potential profit
- $253.41
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 1.8% 25.66 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 19.1% 101.87 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 2% 974.34 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 16% 425.13 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 11.5% 695.65 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes 5.4% 925.93 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 2.3% 870.87 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 13% 315.84 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes 2.4% 687.26 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes 2.9% 687.26 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes 5.1% 592.41 shares