Polymarket Trader

0x5aEC50b0A0904494e1183948f39bE57863401236-1773471522573

@Advokatura666

0x5aec50b0a0904494e1183948f39be57863401236

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.9K
Realized PnL: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $339.2
Potential payout: $416.25
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $53.43
Potential payout: $102.76
Potential profit: $49.32
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$9.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.86

No position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.82

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $73.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.59

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94.8% 103.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94.1% 348 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94% 493.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93.7% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93.6% 610 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93.5% 42 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 82% 351.25 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 62% 36 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 61% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 82% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 82% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 82% 25 shares