Yes position
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $376.23
- Potential payout
- $537.47
- Potential profit
- $161.24
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $64.39
Polymarket Trader
lorakiss
0x5aecb8a8c49af912af511e7ab9abff90aa164600
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $698.29
- Realized PnL
- $7
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $132.46
- Potential payout
- $138.05
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $101.55
- Potential payout
- $108.61
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $16.71
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $88.05
- Potential payout
- $95.71
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.66
Yes position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Yes position
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes 58% 378.3 shares
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes 76% 172.39 shares
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes 80% 118.14 shares
- Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes 58% 159.17 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?32% 6.13 shares
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes 83% 95.71 shares
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No 78.1% 108.61 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 76.1% 13.71 shares
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes 85% 46.92 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 89.4% 110.88 shares