Polymarket Trader

realrtrd

0x5af3203a38e5f7deb356dc05aea613936c231534

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $825.89
Realized PnL: $1.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $240.67
Potential payout: $373.13
Potential profit: $132.46
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $96.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $153.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $122.46
Potential payout: $228.9
Potential profit: $106.44
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $27.71
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $162.76
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $7.71

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $102.83
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $85.85
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $104.39
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $71.05
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $35.41
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $72.7
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $15.41

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.1%
Current value: $32.38
Potential payout: $101.03
Potential profit: $68.65
Multiplier: 3.12x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $9.07
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $75.68
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $81.3
Potential profit: $66.54
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $25.94
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $15.94

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $22.11
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will the NYSE develop its own chain?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $6.54
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.57

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.19

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.77

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.48

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.92

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.53

Over position

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Over position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.14

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.97

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.94

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 192.3 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 17.47 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 28.6% 17.47 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5

Over 67% 44.78 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?

Yes 38.5% 25.99 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 62% 403.23 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 151.51 shares
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Over 18% 338.98 shares