No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $184.59
- Potential payout
- $434.33
- Potential profit
- $249.74
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$132.41
Polymarket Trader
NoirMiller
0x5af44b901ee80a20e2bf0c34741f0e2beb0035bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.59
- Realized PnL
- $240.32
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.61
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 73% 434.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 89.9% 317.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 40% 2.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?No 5.7% 17.27 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?No 55% 17.27 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes 45% 19.23 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No 72.5% 56.59 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes 52% 19.23 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No 74% 67.57 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No 62% 161.29 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?Yes 69% 17.39 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?Yes 63% 2.56 shares