Polymarket Trader

0x5Af5aCbe8Dbb78FC5B34166D56b7CbEe5dB15FCc-1767607304056

0x5af5acbe8dbb78fc5b34166d56b7cbee5db15fcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $333.53
Realized PnL: $229.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $171.19
Potential payout: $173
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $24.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $139.27
Potential payout: $150.56
Potential profit: $11.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.25
Potential profit: $87.25
User PnL: -$6.98

No position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $23.08
Potential payout: $23.31
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.81
Potential profit: $18.81
User PnL: -$17.03

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.96
Potential profit: $17.96
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $16.16
User PnL: -$15.48

Yes position

Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $5.29
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9
Potential profit: $4.9
User PnL: -$2.5

Toby Samuel position

Francavilla: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Grigor Dimitrov position

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28
Potential profit: $4.28
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $3.66
User PnL: -$1.5

Over position

Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52
Potential profit: $3.52
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48
Potential profit: $3.48
User PnL: -$1.15

Athletics position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.46
Potential profit: $3.46
User PnL: -$1.94

Wushuang Zheng position

Jiujiang: Zongyu Li vs Wushuang Zheng

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1.45

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $3.16
User PnL: -$1.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.61

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $17.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.55

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $13.76

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Raptors position

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Coco Gauff position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 94% 31.91 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 94% 30.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 93% 84.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 94% 53.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 89% 44.94 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 99.4% 54.59 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 99.7% 113.46 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

49.1% 1.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 84% 32.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 76% 26.32 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 76% 15.99 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

69.5% 7.13 shares