Polymarket Trader

0x5AF977635321770fF1a6575b49333F5800671f82-1719561936777

0x5af977635321770ff1a6575b49333f5800671f82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $577.67
Realized PnL: $933.09
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$68.58

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$312.44

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$540

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$682.26

Paul position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$152.56

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.52
Potential profit: $990.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.98
Potential profit: $909.98
User PnL: -$27.3

No position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $782.84
Potential profit: $782.84
User PnL: -$240.96

Yes position

Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.78
Potential profit: $711.78
User PnL: -$128.61

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.88
Potential profit: $503.88
User PnL: -$11.57

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.49
Potential profit: $490.49
User PnL: -$20.57

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $40.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $359.8
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $395.61
Potential payout: $397
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: $78.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $122.85
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $267.15
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$35.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $19.01
Potential payout: $270.01
Potential profit: $251
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.32
Potential profit: $156.32
User PnL: -$45.33

Yes position

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.28
Potential profit: $128.28
User PnL: -$25.59

No position

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28–29%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.15

No position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.99

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.26

Yes position

Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.22

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.71

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.84

No position

Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Prodzy win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$95.51

No position

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$102.1

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$279.09

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$589.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7% 270.01 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 230 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 79% 5.87 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 400 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

No 46% 228 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

No 43% 228 shares
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Yes 1.1% 327.29 shares
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

No 97.3% 10 shares
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Paul 14.5% 1,050.73 shares