No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.59K
- Potential profit
- $38.59K
- User PnL
- -$5.83K
Polymarket Trader
StillLife
0x5afdc3662d84189688b789a00fe295a81c3b7e8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $107.97K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.84K
- Potential profit
- $23.84K
- User PnL
- -$529.92
Yes position
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$158.2
Yes position
Iranian coup attempt before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $689.66
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.75
- Potential profit
- $659.75
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $478.93
- Potential profit
- $478.93
- User PnL
- -$112.5
Yes position
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $247
- User PnL
- -$49.97
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.84
- Potential profit
- $190.84
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.41
- Potential profit
- $157.41
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.81K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.24
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $474.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.59
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.44
Yes position
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.92
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Rangers position
Astros vs. Rangers
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.57
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.01
Yes position
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.16
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.59
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$165.5
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$456.51
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Yes 33.4% 545.89 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Yes 36.6% 545.9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes 16% 125 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.1% 12,861.68 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.4% 2,857.14 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.2% 2,500 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.1% 4,750.98 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.6% 6,172.79 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.5% 3,333.33 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.2% 10,610.82 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No 1.3% 10,000 shares