Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $283.44
- Potential payout
- $51.54K
- Potential profit
- $51.25K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$77.3
Polymarket Trader
ObertoTarantino32
0x5b0e83863b02c7ec7bf4a015ba6a3fb7114b0b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.74K
- Realized PnL
- $27.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $108.24
- Potential payout
- $43.3K
- Potential profit
- $43.19K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $245.74
- Potential payout
- $37.81K
- Potential profit
- $37.56K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$64.84
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.08K
- Potential profit
- $17.08K
- User PnL
- -$5.37K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.28K
- Potential profit
- $16.28K
- User PnL
- -$10.4K
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $9.81K
- User PnL
- -$133.61
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $222.51
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $8.54K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$31.54
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $483.5
- Potential payout
- $8.26K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$20.66
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $8.21K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$217.46
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.69K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $192.7
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $599.03
- Potential payout
- $8.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$273.03
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $6.97K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $178
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $116.33
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $17.33
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $62
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $88.9
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$708.96
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $15.53
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$30.6
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $79
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $105.24
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$243.08
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$290.11
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $158.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $299.4
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$325
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828.82
Yes position
Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.67
Yes position
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.31
Yes position
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.68
Yes position
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.11
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.02
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.21
Yes position
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.2
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.13
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.79
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.5
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.62
Zelenskyy position
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.19
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $150.03
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.43
Yes position
Will Carnival Corporation (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.84
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 564.04 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 75% 569.26 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 24% 542.36 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 17% 87.17 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 20% 40.98 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 51% 50.74 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 51% 50.74 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 29% 561.96 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 13% 107.7 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 75.1% 105 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 75% 200 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.7% 919.7 shares