Polymarket Trader

BackOfTheBus

0x5b113bc8485261f8df097f2f9050880ee21edbc6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $917.02
Realized PnL: $105.49
Win rate: 26.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $166.7
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $878.45
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $66.7

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $178.72
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $496.96
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $78.72

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $56.8
Potential payout: $463.64
Potential profit: $406.84
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$43.2

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $72.78
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $297.59
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$27.22

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $58.4
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $227.31
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$41.6

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $165.87
Potential payout: $274.16
Potential profit: $108.3
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $22.27

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.55
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $157.27
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$75.45

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $130.71
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $57.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.93

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.92

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 be less than 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 24 be less than 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 21 be greater than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 be greater than 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 - January 25 be between 14,750,000 and 15,000,000?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 25 be greater than 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 21 be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$230

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.8% 147.06 shares
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 49% 88.98 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 55% 181.82 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 54% 185.19 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 9.6% 1,045.15 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 21.6% 463.64 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 27% 370.37 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 70% 142.86 shares