No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $183
- Potential profit
- $167.45
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Polymarket Trader
reallyquickwins
0x5b32fb9e3cef8b7c0a0ce01d448f9580fbf19f3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $216.04
- Realized PnL
- $9.95
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $159
- Potential profit
- $143.9
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $135.61
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.74
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $67.26
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $53.01
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.21
- Potential payout
- $47.9
- Potential profit
- $35.69
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $32.4
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $13.19
- Potential payout
- $36.13
- Potential profit
- $22.94
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.99
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?Yes 33% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?Yes 24% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 11?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?Yes 35% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?Yes 42% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?Yes 21% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?Yes 30% 18.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?Yes 38% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?Yes 40% 5.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 11?Yes 31% 20 shares