Polymarket Trader

HernyKid

0x5b360cd466ca237a4b9d4592613f09258134f388

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.01
Realized PnL: $91.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $14.4
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $2.84
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Bikinis back on X by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $9.65
User PnL: -$4.92

Bitcoin position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

No position

US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.64

Yes position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Yes 86% 5.81 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 73.9% 6.77 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 18% 33.33 shares
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 99.6% 40.16 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 55% 83.64 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

No 88% 5.68 shares
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

No 73% 6.85 shares
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

No 94% 5.32 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 25% 20 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares