No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $21.06
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $17.94
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Polymarket Trader
0x5b37...57d8
0x5b379be8174b4184871bb6a6807cbe56e25b57d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.08
- Realized PnL
- -$13.91
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $21.85
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$15.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.8% 29 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 2.4% 44 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84.7% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 37% 19 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 19 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.4% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 17 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No 71% 9 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?No 97.1% 23 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 59% 39 shares